Exporting companies projecting an increase in exports of goods of 2.5% this year, representing an acceleration against estimates of last year, said the National Statistics Institute on Tuesday.
The outlook is more positive for trade with countries outside the EU, with an expected increase 4.7%. In trade with the other 27 European partners, the forecast is for growth of 1.7%.
The INE survey was conducted in November last year (a month of submission of the proposal State Budget for 2015) and aimed to estimate “before the end of the year.” The data, he points out the INE, “differ from the final values observed in the statistics of the International Sale of Goods and should be seen as indicating conditional trends” information that companies that companies had at the time of the survey. Also for methodological reasons, the values can not be directly compared to the statistics of international trade, particularly because they do not include “special moves” in exports, as in electricity, and because they leave out certain operators.
If fuels and lubricants are excluded, expectations are slightly above exporter pace of 2.8%, to ride the growth in the trade with non-EU countries, where the increase reaches 5.8%.
Making the account to the intra and extra-EU companies have sales of machines, accessories and other capital goods (except transport equipment) rise 3.9%. The difference is great between sales to non-EU countries (9.2%) and output to European countries (1.3%).
Diversify markets
The same trend happens with the food and drinks. The s growth prospects in foreign sales is 1.9%. Companies projecting an increase of 5.5% for non-EU countries, rhythm covering the fall of 0.3% expected for the Union.
The investment in markets outside Europe has in fact been a strategy followed by industry, which in recent years, managed to increase its international presence, particularly through direct sales in major supermarket chains or bars and restaurants in countries as diverse as Morocco, Algeria and Mozambique. With Europe to buy less, the bet is now developing markets
Last year, the food and the drinks were the sectors that showed greater dynamism in exports:. Sales abroad increased 6.5% compared to the previous year. International trade in food totaled 5145 million euros, which corresponds to a share of 10.7% of total exports of the country. This is a slight increase compared to 2013, when the agricultural and food sector represented 10.2% of the total value
The biggest sales growth was between primary products, ie unprocessed.: managed to sell 16% more abroad than in 2013, for a total of 1422 million. It was the most significant increase between the broad economic categories identified by INE. Looking at the fruit case, for example, there was a significant increase of 27%.
Sales rose 1.9% in 2014
Despite the expected acceleration this year in exports of Portuguese goods, prospects for 2014 were revised down in November, the survey conducted in May (with the change going from 1.2% to 0.5%).
In all, in 2014, the output of goods totaled 48,181 million euros, an increase of 1.9% compared to 2013. Sales abroad fell short of the increase in imports, which increased 3.2%, reaching to 58,746 million euros.
Considering not only to goods but also services, the government projects a 4.7% growth in foreign sales for 2015, above the rate of 3.7% estimated for the previous year in the proposed state budget presented in October.
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